Two days are left for the final declaration of 2019 Parliamentary election results and most of the exit polls have given three-hundred plus for the BJP thus disseminating any speculation on the power sharing and also giving some hard times for opposition parties to come. The trouble for non-BJP government has already started with BJP unit of Madhya Pradesh asking an elected Congress-led government to prove majority on the floor as early as possible. Such an action could be accepted from other states like Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh where BJP was trounced during the mid-term assembly elections. The overall trend emerging from multiple exit polls of the Lok Sabha elections is that NDA is set to form the government. This is in line with most opinion polls conducted prior to voting. Among the trends thrown up by exit polls is one which suggests that the average Indian voter is now inclined to make a choice according to the context. To illustrate, Odisha which witnessed simultaneous polling for Lok Sabha and assembly appears to have witnessed a dual trend. An exit poll forecast that BJD will retain power in the state, while BJP has seen a surge of support in the Lok Sabha elections. The trend seems to hold in three other states, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, where Congress defeated incumbent BJP governments six months ago. However, the exit polls suggest that voters overwhelmingly chose BJP in the Lok Sabha polls. Perhaps a larger proportion of voters are inclined to make a pragmatic choice rather than an inflexible ideological choice. If that is indeed the case, it might be unwise to forecast the outcome of the next round of assembly elections based on the Lok Sabha results. Dominant regional politicians such as Naveen Patnaik and Mamata Banerjee, therefore, may continue to be formidable opponents to BJP in assembly elections. All said and done now what one has to see is the emerging political equation in Jammu and Kashmir where assembly elections, which had been due for a long time, have not been conducted. So could be the status of contagious issues like Articles 370 and 35 A which BJP has been hinting to remove during the current electioneering season.
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